Trump still holds power; not a lame duck yet

Recent weeks have been tumultuous for Donald Trump and the Republican Party, igniting jubilation among Democrats. The GOP’s poor performance in elections and Trump’s plummeting approval ratings—falling to 36%—have painted a bleak picture for the former president. Currently, 60% of Americans disapprove of his presidency, with concerns spanning major issues from the economy to immigration. As these trends unfold, Democrats are optimistic about reclaiming control in the 2026 midterms, reminiscent of Trump’s low approval ratings at the end of his first term, when the January 6 Capitol riot occurred.Compounding Trump’s challenges is the resurfacing of the Jeffrey Epstein scandal, prompting congressional Republicans to release damaging emails and documents against Trump’s wishes. This shift indicates a growing willingness among GOP members to oppose Trump, with figures like Bill Kristol noting a transition from fear to disdain for the former president. Influential Congress members, such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, are stepping back, leading to speculation that others may follow suit to distance themselves from Trump.

Despite the apparent disarray within Trump’s support base, there’s a caution against declaring him a “lame duck.” Historical definitions indicate that a lame duck is a leader rendered ineffective, often nearing the end of their term. However, with Trump likely retaining power for at least three more years, this narrative could belittle the seriousness of the political climate. While some assert that Trump’s influence is waning, others warn that underestimating him and the GOP may lead to dangerous consequences as they pursue authoritarian agendas.

Moreover, the debate within the Republican Party touches upon style rather than substance, focusing on how to dismantle democratic processes rather than whether to do so. Experts caution that America’s democracy remains at risk, regardless of Trump’s current popularity. Rick Wilson of the Lincoln Project emphasizes that Trump is driven by chaos and disruption, further suggesting that his power is persistent and significant. Such insights challenge the assumption that Trump’s waning popularity equates to diminished threat.

Ultimately, the focus should be on the real-world implications of Trump’s policies and actions. Those affected by his administration’s decisions, such as job losses and immigration enforcement, are stark reminders of his influence. As Trump continues to wield power, it’s crucial to approach the situation with a mindset that acknowledges the potential for sustained danger rather than comforting narratives of decline. Recognizing the complexities of Trump’s political standing will guide more effective strategies in addressing the challenges ahead.