Arizona Governor polling average
Arizona Governor: Monolith Average
Katie Hobbs (D) · Andy Biggs (R)
Rating: Cook: Likely D (via NPR) (2026-10-29)
Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
D+6.0
Katie Hobbs (D) 50.5% · Andy Biggs (R) 44.5%
3 pollsters
3 pollsters
Monolith Average (All Polls)
D+5.7
Katie Hobbs (D) 49.7% · Andy Biggs (R) 44.0%
4 pollsters
4 pollsters
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Monolith Average: daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Hobbs | Biggs | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28 | 511 LV | 51.0 | 45.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Teri Ann Hourihan 1.0, Risa Lombardo 0.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Kreate Strategies for American Encore | 2026-10-25 to 2026-10-27 | 900 LV | 48.3 | 43.1 | Partisan (R) | All Polls only | source | Other answers: Teri Ann Hourihan 1.0, Risa Lombardo 1.0 | Decimals from release published topline: Hobbs 48.3, Biggs 43.1 | Approved: hand: decimals read from release | |
| GrayHouse | 2026-10-18 to 2026-10-20 | 550 LV | 51.0 | 45.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Teri Ann Hourihan 2.0, Risa Lombardo 0.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Equis Research | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-09 | 1214 RV | 49.0 | 43.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: hand: release says "Hobbs holds a 49-43 (+7) advantage" |
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