Corrections: Monolith Averages
Corrections and changes
We fix errors fast and say so here. To report one, email [email protected] with the race, the poll and a link to the original release. Editor: Timothy Luby.
Corrections to a published average are listed below with the date and time (Central Time), what changed and why. Pre-launch data fixes are listed for transparency.
| When (CT) | Race | Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 2:10 PM | all | Pulled 6,044 polls from VoteHub API as lead source | Phase 1 load |
| 2026-10-30 2:10 PM | all | Loaded 259 state/House rows with field_end >= 2026-09-30 for 95 state and House races | Phase 1 load |
| 2026-10-30 2:12 PM | gb-us, app-trump | Loaded 11 generic-ballot rows by hand from releases and approval rows from Wikipedia lead lists + VoteHub | No Wikipedia generic-ballot list exists |
| 2026-10-30 2:12 PM | all | Wedgewood Polls rows (4 in window) set to rejected | Firm admitted fabrication Oct 20, 2026 |
| 2026-10-30 2:12 PM | gov-mn | GQR row rejected | Lead-source entry lists Senate candidates under governor race (data error) |
| 2026-10-30 2:12 PM | sen-mt | Main Democratic candidate set to Alani Bankhead; Bodnar (I) as third candidate | Candidate order fix |
| 2026-10-30 2:12 PM | gov-ma | Name fixed: Maura Healy -> Maura Healey; UMass Lowell URL added | Lead-source typo / missing URL |
| 2026-10-30 2:20 PM | gb-us, app-trump | CBS News and Pew source URLs replaced with exact release URLs | Earlier URLs returned 404 |
| 2026-10-30 2:22 PM | sen-sd | Quantus Insights 10/19: Rounds 59->57, Bengs 37->36 | Spot check: cited release (Semafor, 10/21) says 57/36 |
| 2026-10-30 2:23 PM | all | Averages computed (v1) as of 2026-10-30; all rows status=draft pending editor approval | Phase 1 |
| 2026-10-30 2:27 PM | house-mo-02 | Emerson College 10/14 row: source URL added (Poll Vault "levee-math" post); still needs check against paywalled release | Lead source had an ID, not a link |
| 2026-10-30 2:39 PM | all | Method: leaners-pushed figures used when both reported | Editor decision (Timothy Luby) |
| 2026-10-30 2:39 PM | gov-ak, sen-ak | Alaska switched to first-choice (round-1) figures for all pollsters; ranked-choice final rounds kept in notes for context. gov-ak moved from D+6.2 to D+19.5; sen-ak from D+1.2 to D+1.8 | Editor decision (Timothy Luby) |
| 2026-10-30 2:39 PM | several | Decimals entered from releases: Wick WI, Kreate AZ, Spry TN, Mitchell MI, Harper NC, Prolific generic ballot | Editor decision (Timothy Luby) |
| 2026-10-30 2:39 PM | sen-mt | Quantus Insights Oct 18: Bankhead and Bodnar figures were swapped in the lead source; corrected to release (Alme 45.6, Bodnar 29.4, Bankhead 21.2) | Release check |
| 2026-10-30 2:39 PM | all | Approval pass: polls verified against releases marked approved; averages now use approved polls only | Launch |
| 2026-10-30 2:42 PM | sen-mt | Headline now compares the top two in approved polls, Alme (R) vs. Bodnar (I); Bankhead (D) shown in the poll table. R+13.3 (Bankhead v. Alme) -> R+12.3 (Bodnar v. Alme) | Editor decision (Timothy Luby) |