Cindy Holscher (D) · Ty Masterson (R)
Rating: Cook: Toss Up (via NPR) (2026-10-29)
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Holscher | Masterson | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28 | 800 LV | 47.5 | 52.5 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: hand: release leaners Masterson 53 / Holscher 48; lead-source unrounded 52.5/47.5 | |
| CNN/SSRS | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-26 | 838 LV | 45.0 | 50.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | ||
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 2026-10-22 to 2026-10-26 | 801 LV | 51.0 | 45.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | ||
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-30 | 605 LV | 44.0 | 49.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text |
Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.