MO-02 House polling average
MO-02 House: Monolith Average
Fred Wellman (D) · Ann Wagner (R)
Rating: Toss-up per Sabato (Sabato 2026-10-27)
Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
Insufficient polling
0 qualifying pollster(s) in the last 30 days; at least 2 needed.
Monolith Average (All Polls)
Insufficient polling
0 qualifying pollster(s) in the last 30 days; at least 2 needed.
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Wellman | Wagner | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20 | 631 LV | 46.0 | 45.0 | Partisan (D) | Not used (disclosure gap) | source | Disclosure gap: only source is a social-media post, not the release | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 401 LV | 51.0 | 46.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | URL added: lead source had an ID, not a link. Same Poll Vault release as the other nine Emerson Oct 12-14 district polls ("10 new congressional district polls"); post is paywalled, so MO-02 figures are not yet checked ag |
Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.