Dan Osborn (I) · Pete Ricketts (R)
Updated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Osborn | Ricketts | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-29 | 809 LV | 43.0 | 49.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | SRI headline (with leaners); n/field dates per NYT (reported by qz.com/Zetik) | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice | 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-23 | 407 LV | 46.0 | 47.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Robin Richards 2.0, Chuck Conboy 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | 598 LV | 47.0 | 50.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05 | 800 LV | 46.0 | 49.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text |
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