Aaron Ford (D) · Joe Lombardo (R)
Rating: Cook: Toss Up (via NPR) (2026-10-29)
Updated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Ford | Lombardo | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28 | 487 LV | 47.0 | 47.0 | Nonpartisan | All Polls only | source | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| Hart Research Associates for A More Affordable Nevada | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-25 | 950 LV | 49.0 | 45.0 | Unknown sponsor | All Polls only | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text |
Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.