Nevada Governor polling average

Nevada Governor: Monolith Average

Aaron Ford (D) · Joe Lombardo (R)

Rating: Cook: Toss Up (via NPR) (2026-10-29)

Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
Insufficient polling
1 qualifying pollster(s) in the last 30 days; at least 2 needed.
Monolith Average (All Polls)
D+2.2
Aaron Ford (D) 48.1% · Joe Lombardo (R) 45.9%
2 pollsters

Updated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.

Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1

Even+2.22026-10-012026-10-31

Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.

Polls

PollsterDatesSampleFordLombardoOtherSponsor typeUsed inSourceNotes
Noble Predictive Insights2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28487 LV47.047.0NonpartisanAll Polls onlysourceApproved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source
Hart Research Associates
for A More Affordable Nevada
2026-10-20 to 2026-10-25950 LV49.045.0Unknown sponsorAll Polls onlysourceApproved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text

Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.

Monolith Averages v1 · as of 2026-10-31 · generated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT · Editor: Timothy Luby · Corrections: [email protected] · Averages licensed CC BY 4.0, credit “Monolith Average, themonolith.media”.
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