Jermaine Johnson (D) · Alan Wilson (R)
Updated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Johnson | Wilson | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-26 | 707 LV | 44.0 | 51.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | n/field dates per NYT listing/WJCL | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| Targoz Market Research for South Carolina Policy Council | 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-25 | 895 LV | 41.0 | 51.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Michael Addison 1.0, Walid Hakim 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| The Citadel Poll | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-25 | 890 LV | 31.0 | 42.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | RV n=1009: 32-36 | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| Trafalgar Group | 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-18 | 1095 LV | 36.5 | 52.5 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | Other answers: Michael Addison 4.2, Walid Hakim 1.6 |
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