Texas Governor polling average
Texas Governor: Monolith Average
Gina Hinojosa (D) · Greg Abbott (R)
Rating: Cook: Lean R (via NPR) (2026-10-29)
Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
R+3.1
Gina Hinojosa (D) 46.6% · Greg Abbott (R) 49.7%
10 pollsters
10 pollsters
Monolith Average (All Polls)
R+2.4
Gina Hinojosa (D) 47.0% · Greg Abbott (R) 49.4%
12 pollsters
12 pollsters
Updated 2026-10-31 09:12 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Monolith Average: daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Hinojosa | Abbott | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-29 | 400 LV | 47.9 | 52.1 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28 | 1221 LV | 46.3 | 51.6 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| CNN/SSRS | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-27 | 923 LV | 46.0 | 48.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | ||
| Data for Progress | 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-26 | 712 LV | 47.0 | 48.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Toplines: dfp_2026_tx_ge_tabs.pdf | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| YouGov Blue for 254 Labs | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-26 | 1000 LV | 49.0 | 46.0 | Unknown sponsor | All Polls only | source | 1,000 registered voters interviewed, results weighted to likely-voter targets (release reports "among likely voters") | Approved: hand: both figures, n and field dates confirmed in source | |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-25 | 2000 LV | 47.0 | 50.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Pat Dixon 2.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| ActiVote | 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-21 | 400 LV | 47.5 | 52.5 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| YouGov for N+ Univision | 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-21 | 1000 RV | 46.0 | 48.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| VoteHub/Verasight | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-20 | 601 LV | 46.4 | 47.7 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Pat Dixon 0.7 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-19 | 1398 LV | 47.0 | 52.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Emerson College for Nexstar Media | 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-19 | 1000 LV | 45.0 | 49.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Pat Dixon 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Pollfinity | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | 278 LV | 46.0 | 45.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Other answers: Pat Dixon 2.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | 969 LV | 48.0 | 51.0 | Unknown sponsor | All Polls only | source | Other answers: Pat Dixon 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| ActiVote | 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-14 | 400 LV | 49.1 | 50.9 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group for The Cook Political Report | 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-13 | 934 LV | 46.0 | 48.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source | ||
| ReconMR/Siena University | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-08 | 617 LV | 47.0 | 48.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-30 | 605 LV | 49.0 | 46.0 | Nonpartisan | Outside 30-day window | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text |
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