Randy Villegas (D) · David Valadao (R)
Rating: Toss-up per Cook, Inside Elections (Cook 2026-10-30; Inside Elections latest)
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Villegas | Valadao | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future | 2026-10-22 to 2026-10-28 | 356 LV | 54.0 | 44.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source |
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