Kathy Castor (D) · Mike Beltran (R)
Rating: Toss-up per Cook, Sabato (Cook 2026-10-30; Sabato 2026-10-27)
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Castor | Beltran | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 315 LV | 48.0 | 43.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source |
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