Johnny Garcia (D) · Carlos De La Cruz (R)
Rating: Toss-up per Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections (Cook 2026-10-30; Sabato 2026-10-27; Inside Elections latest)
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Garcia | Cruz | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington, Petts & Associates for House Majority PAC | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 400 LV | 47.0 | 45.0 | Partisan (D) | Superseded by newer poll | source | Source is a social post from the House Majority PAC communications account (verify); treated as the original release | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 417 LV | 51.0 | 49.0 | Nonpartisan | Superseded by newer poll | source |
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