Alaska Senate polling average
Alaska Senate: Monolith Average
Mary Peltola (D) · Dan Sullivan (R)
Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
D+1.8
Mary Peltola (D) 47.1% · Dan Sullivan (R) 45.2%
2 pollsters
2 pollsters
Monolith Average (All Polls)
D+1.8
Mary Peltola (D) 47.1% · Dan Sullivan (R) 45.2%
2 pollsters
2 pollsters
Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.
Monolith Average: daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1
Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.
Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Peltola | Sullivan | Other | Sponsor type | Used in | Source | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-16 | 671 LV | 47.0 | 44.0 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Alaska: round-1 (first-choice) figures from release: Peltola 47, Sullivan 44, Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. 4, Heikes 1. Ranked-choice final round (context only): 51-49 | Approved: hand: round-1 figures read from release | |
| Public Policy Polling | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-15 | 578 RV | 48.0 | 47.0 | Unknown sponsor | Not used (disclosure gap) | source | Disclosure gap: only source is a social-media post, not the release | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text | |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-09-28 to 2026-09-30 | 758 LV | 47.2 | 47.8 | Nonpartisan | Both | source | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text |
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