Florida Senate (special) polling average

Florida Senate (special): Monolith Average

Angie Nixon (D) · Ashley Moody (R)

Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
R+6.7
Angie Nixon (D) 43.6% · Ashley Moody (R) 50.3%
5 pollsters
Monolith Average (All Polls)
R+6.7
Angie Nixon (D) 43.6% · Ashley Moody (R) 50.3%
5 pollsters

Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.

Monolith Average: daily margin since Oct. 1

Even-6.72026-10-012026-10-30

Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.

Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1

Even-6.72026-10-012026-10-30

Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.

Polls

PollsterDatesSampleNixonMoodyOtherSponsor typeUsed inSourceNotes
ActiVote2026-10-17 to 2026-10-27400 LV47.053.0NonpartisanBothsourceApproved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
Echelon Insights
for NetChoice
2026-10-16 to 2026-10-23515 LV43.051.0NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Neil Gillespie 3.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
co/efficient2026-10-18 to 2026-10-201014 LV40.048.0NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Neil Gillespie 2.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
University of North Florida2026-10-12 to 2026-10-191414 LV45.049.0NonpartisanBothsourceApproved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
MDW
for EDGE Communications
2026-10-04 to 2026-10-10800 LV42.048.0Unknown sponsorSuperseded by newer pollsource
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07836 LV45.047.0NonpartisanSuperseded by newer pollsource
Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04857 LV42.052.0NonpartisanBothsourceApproved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
2026-09-28 to 2026-10-041200 RV38.050.0NonpartisanOther version (not used)sourceAlternate version (not preferred: LV>RV>A, then full field) |

Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.

Monolith Averages v1 · as of 2026-10-30 · generated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT · Editor: Timothy Luby · Corrections: [email protected] · Averages licensed CC BY 4.0, credit "Monolith Average, themonolith.media/".
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