North Carolina Senate polling average

North Carolina Senate: Monolith Average

Roy Cooper (D) · Michael Whatley (R)

Monolith Average · nonpartisan polls
D+11.1
Roy Cooper (D) 52.6% · Michael Whatley (R) 41.5%
6 pollsters
Monolith Average (All Polls)
D+11.1
Roy Cooper (D) 52.6% · Michael Whatley (R) 41.5%
6 pollsters

Updated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT. Margin = first-listed candidate minus second; undecided voters are not allocated. Polls from the last 30 days; each pollster counts once (its latest poll); weights favor larger, newer polls. How we calculate this.

Monolith Average: daily margin since Oct. 1

Even+11.12026-10-012026-10-30

Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.

Monolith Average (All Polls): daily margin since Oct. 1

Even+11.12026-10-012026-10-30

Above the dashed line = first-listed candidate leads (positive margin); gaps = fewer than 2 pollsters that day.

Polls

PollsterDatesSampleCooperWhatleyOtherSponsor typeUsed inSourceNotes
Quantus Insights2026-10-24 to 2026-10-25722 LV51.442.8NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 1.3, Michael Dublin 0.7 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
ActiVote2026-10-08 to 2026-10-20400 LV56.943.1NonpartisanBothsourceApproved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
2026-10-18 to 2026-10-20600 LV49.439.1NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 3.0, Michael Dublin 2.0 | Decimals from release: Cooper 49.4, Whatley 39.1 | Approved: hand: decimals read from release
High Point University Survey Research Center2026-10-01 to 2026-10-20620 LV54.040.0NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 2.0, Michael Dublin 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
SurveyUSA
for WRAL-TV; WSOC-TV
2026-10-07 to 2026-10-11643 LV54.040.0NonpartisanSuperseded by newer pollsource
Elon University/YouGov2026-09-29 to 2026-10-08561 LV52.039.0NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 2.0, Michael Dublin 1.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text
Change Research
for Carolina Forward
2026-10-01 to 2026-10-07829 LV50.040.0Partisan (D)Superseded by newer pollsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 2.0, Michael Dublin 1.0
East Carolina University2026-09-30 to 2026-10-03810 LV53.046.0NonpartisanBothsourceOther answers: Shannon Bray 2.0, Michael Dublin 0.0 | Approved: automatic: both figures found next to the names in the release text

Spot an error? Email [email protected]. Downloadable data files are coming soon.

Monolith Averages v1 · as of 2026-10-30 · generated 2026-10-30 14:41 CT · Editor: Timothy Luby · Corrections: [email protected] · Averages licensed CC BY 4.0, credit "Monolith Average, themonolith.media/".
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