2026 NFL Week 8 projections by Elway

Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model, ELWAY, has recently been updated with the results from Monday night’s game, where the Dallas Cowboys triumphed over the Philadelphia Eagles with a score of 38-21. This victory not only snapped the Cowboys' two-game losing streak but also marked the Eagles' fifth consecutive loss. Dak Prescott played a pivotal role, throwing three touchdown passes, while Javonte Williams showcased his skills with a remarkable 155 rushing yards. Despite this win, the Cowboys' defensive performance remains a concern, as they currently rank last in defensive EPA per play among all teams this season.

The latest updates also reflect a significant shake-up in the league as several undefeated teams faced their first losses. Notably, the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs both fell, while the Minnesota Vikings narrowly avoided defeat against the Indianapolis Colts thanks to a late interception by Harrison Smith. In another thrilling matchup, the Cincinnati Bengals made a dramatic comeback against the Baltimore Ravens, overcoming a 13-0 halftime deficit to secure a decisive victory. Looking ahead to Week 8, it appears to be a critical juncture for many teams as they strive to solidify their playoff positions.

Despite the NFL traditionally being viewed as less conducive to analytics compared to sports like basketball or baseball, there is a wealth of data available for analysis. With the NFL now in its 107th season, there is a robust collection of play-by-play data and advanced quarterback tracking statistics that have been accumulated over the years. The ELWAY model stands out as a unique analytical tool, leveraging this extensive data to provide insights into team performance and projections.

The ELWAY model offers a detailed assessment of team ratings, which include offensive and defensive projections that estimate the number of points a team is expected to score and allow against an average opponent. This net rating is crucial for understanding team dynamics, as it highlights the relationship between offensive efficiency and defensive performance. For instance, while the Dallas Cowboys boast a strong offense led by Prescott, their defensive struggles have become apparent, particularly in recent games.

Additionally, the ELWAY model provides comprehensive data on projected win-loss records, playoff odds, and detailed forecasts for each game throughout the season. Subscribers can access simulations that predict the likelihood of each team’s success, including their chances of making the playoffs, winning their division, and ultimately claiming the Super Bowl title. This analytical approach not only enhances fan engagement but also offers a deeper understanding of the complexities of the NFL as the season progresses.